What Solar Leads Actually Cost in 2026 (by Type)
A solar installer spending $5,000 on leads this month could get 25 exclusive leads, 166 shared leads, or 500 aged leads. Which pile turns into revenue depends on your sales process, your market, and your vendor's definition of "qualified."
| Lead Type | Price Range | Close Rate | Cost per Closed Deal | Labor Reality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aged (30-85 days) | $0.10–$10 | 1–3% | $333–$1,000 | 7-12 dial attempts per contact |
| Aged (366+ days) | $0.10–$2 | 0.3–1% | $200–$667 | Most numbers disconnected |
| Shared | $20–$125 | 0.5–1% | $2,000–$12,500 | Must call within 5 minutes |
| Exclusive | $40–$250 | 1–15% | $267–$4,000 | Time for proper consultative sales |
| Appointments | $150–$500 | 5–10% | $1,500–$10,000 | Show up and close |
| Live Transfer | $100–$300+ | 8–20% | $500–$3,750 | Warm handoff, but verify qualification live |
That fifth column matters more than most vendors will admit. Aged solar leads at $2 each look irresistible until your sales rep spends 40 hours dialing to book three appointments. Exclusive leads cost ten times as much per unit but let your closer actually sell instead of playing phone tag with strangers who filled out a form six months ago.
Residential vs. Commercial Solar Leads: Different Markets, Different Math
Most solar lead vendors sell residential. Commercial is a different animal entirely, and the supply of qualified commercial solar leads is thin.
| Residential | Commercial | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg project value | $25,200 | $150,000–$500,000+ |
| Sales cycle | 2–6 weeks | 3–12 months |
| Exclusive lead cost | $40–$250 | $200–$600 (when available) |
| Demand forecast | 18% decline projected | Growing, especially C&I |
Five to ten commercial leads per month at $400 each could fill a $1M+ pipeline. The challenge isn't price — it's finding vendors who actually generate commercial solar leads rather than residential leads relabeled as "commercial" because the homeowner mentioned they own a small business.
Ask any vendor claiming commercial solar leads to show you the intake form. If it doesn't ask about roof ownership, electrical panel capacity, and decision-making authority, the leads aren't really commercial.
How the ITC Expiration Changed Solar Lead Economics
The Section 25D residential clean energy credit expired December 31, 2025. That 30% federal tax credit — worth $7,560 on a $25,200 system — is gone.
Here's what that did to the solar lead market:
- Close rates dropped 15–25% across most markets
- Customer acquisition costs climbed roughly 25%
- Lead quality became the deciding factor between profitable and unprofitable campaigns
- The gap between good and bad vendors widened — mediocre leads that used to convert on the strength of the tax credit alone now just sit in your CRM
Some states have stepped in with their own incentives. California, New York, and Massachusetts still offer meaningful credits or rebates that give your sales team something to work with. Everywhere else, the pitch has to stand on utility savings and long-term ROI — which is a harder conversation and requires better-qualified leads to begin with.
If your solar lead vendor hasn't adjusted their qualification criteria since the ITC expired, they're selling you 2025 leads at 2026 prices. Ask them directly what changed in their intake process. Silence is your answer.
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Where to Buy Solar Leads (Vendor Comparison)
The solar lead market breaks into five distinct categories, each with a different risk profile:
Performance-Based Lead Companies
Companies like Pinecone Leads generate leads through their own marketing and sell them on a per-lead basis. You pay for results, not ad spend. The best ones offer return policies for leads that don't meet qualification criteria.
Lead Aggregators and Marketplaces
These platforms collect leads from multiple sources and distribute them — sometimes exclusively, often shared. Quality varies wildly depending on the source. Always ask where the leads originate.
Aged Lead Databases
Bulk leads at $1 or less. Contact rates for 30–85 day aged leads run 20–35%. Older than that, you're looking at single digits. Good for large teams with dialer infrastructure. Terrible for small operations.
Door-to-Door Services
$150–$500 per set appointment. Higher close rates but hard to scale beyond a metro area. Works best as a supplement, not a primary channel.
Self-Generation (Paid Ads)
Running your own Google or Facebook campaigns costs $80–$300 per lead depending on market and ad skill. Full control, but you're now in the marketing business on top of the solar business. We dig into the tradeoffs between buying and building in our buy vs. build analysis.
Self-Generated vs. Purchased Leads: Channel ROI Breakdown
Every channel has a different speed-to-result curve. This table shows what to expect when you're deciding where to put your next dollar.
| Channel | CPL | Time to First Lead | Close Rate | Scalability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exclusive vendor | $40–$250 | Same week | 1–15% | High — turn up volume on demand |
| Google Ads | $80–$300 | 1–2 weeks | 5–12% | Medium — capped by search volume |
| Google LSA | $50–$150 | 1–2 weeks | 8–15% | Medium — geographic limits |
| Door-to-door | $150–$500 | Same week | 10–20% | Low — labor-intensive |
| Referrals | $0–$100 | Ongoing | 20–40% | Low — can't force volume |
| SEO | $0 (after investment) | 4–8 months | 8–15% | High — compounds over time |
The companies with the healthiest pipelines run at least three of these channels simultaneously: typically a lead vendor for immediate flow, Google Ads for high-intent capture, and a referral program for their highest-quality (and cheapest) deals.
Measure everything by cost per closed deal. A $250 exclusive lead that closes at 12% costs you $2,083 per customer. A $100 Google Ads lead that closes at 6% costs you $1,667. But the Google Ads lead required $3,000/month in management fees on top of spend. Context matters.
How to Evaluate a Solar Lead Vendor (Before You Spend $1,000)
Ten questions to ask before you sign anything. Get real answers to all ten or walk away.
- How do you generate the leads? (If they can't or won't explain their traffic sources, that's a problem.)
- What does "exclusive" actually mean? Some vendors define exclusive as "sold to one solar company" while also selling the same lead to a roofing company and an HVAC company.
- What's your return policy for bad leads? Wrong numbers, commercial properties, renters, out-of-territory — these happen. Reputable vendors replace them.
- Can I see sample leads before committing?
- What close rates do your current solar clients see?
- Do you filter for state-specific incentives? Post-ITC, this matters.
- What qualifying questions does your form include?
- How fresh are the leads when I receive them?
- Is there a minimum volume commitment?
- What's the cancellation process?
Red flags that should end the conversation:
- Guaranteed close rates — no vendor controls what happens after you pick up the phone
- "Proprietary" lead sources they refuse to describe in any detail
- Six-month or longer lock-in contracts
- No replacement policy for disconnected numbers or wrong contact info
- No references from other solar companies (not "home improvement companies" — solar specifically)
What "Qualified" Actually Means
Every vendor says their leads are qualified. The word is meaningless without specifics. Here's a baseline you should demand:
- Homeowner confirmed (not renting, not a property manager)
- Electric bill $100+/month
- Roof less than 15 years old
- No HOA restrictions that block solar panels
- Property within your service territory
- Installation timeline within 6 months
That's the floor. Some vendors offer tiered products — a "standard" lead that meets these basics and a "premium" lead that adds credit qualification or a confirmed appointment. The upcharge for premium tiers can be worth it when the standard leads include too many homeowners who are just browsing.
Ask how they verify. "The homeowner self-reported on the form" is different from "we confirmed via a phone screen before delivery." Both are legitimate, but they produce different lead quality and should carry different price tags.
How to Get Started Buying Solar Leads Without Burning Cash
Don't sign up with three vendors on Monday. Start small, measure everything, and scale what works.
Week 1 — Build your infrastructure. Get your CRM set up with a dedicated pipeline for purchased leads. Create a follow-up cadence: call within 5 minutes, text at 15 minutes, email at 1 hour, then daily calls for a week. Most solar leads die from slow follow-up, not bad data.
Week 2 — Test one exclusive vendor. Buy 20–30 leads. Track every outcome: contacted, appointment set, proposal sent, closed. Don't judge the vendor until you've worked the full batch.
Week 3 — Add a second channel. If vendor leads are converting, add Google Ads or a referral incentive. If they're not, fix your follow-up speed before blaming the source. Most companies that "tried leads and they didn't work" never called a lead within 24 hours.
Week 4 — Measure cost per closed deal. Not cost per lead. Not cost per appointment. Cost per signed contract. That's the only number that matters, and it's the number you use to decide what to scale.
The installers who fail at buying solar leads almost always share the same mistake: they bought too many leads too fast, overwhelmed their sales team, followed up too slowly, and blamed the vendor. Fix the follow-up first. The leads will work.
For a real-world example of this approach, see how one installer built a pipeline using exclusive leads in our solar installation case study.




